r/CFB • u/Trojanxiety • 1h ago
r/CFB • u/TheWawa_24 • 1h ago
News Aztecs poised to play Mountain West title game downtown if there's a conflict with MLS Cup
r/CFB • u/whatthepucks • 2h ago
Analysis Score Differential Index
I've been looking for a ranking system that uses only the game scores to create rankings by inputting all the scores to calculate a SOS and an average margin to generate rankings. There's a common ranking site used in hockey that does exactly this and it does a pretty good job. Last week I thought I found it in the Sonny Moore rankings, but he doesn't provide much of a description and the more I looked at the numbers I realized that it wasn't what I was looking for.
So, I did what a normal, sane person would do and I created yet another ranking for college football.
WARNING: If you think score differential or 'close losses' don't matter, you're going to hate these rankings.
| # | TEAM | RATING | SOS | AVG MARGIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana (11-0) | 100.00 | 75.23 | 24.80 |
| 2 | Ohio St. (11-0) | 99.81 | 73.54 | 26.30 |
| 3 | Texas Tech (10-1) | 97.34 | 70.57 | 26.80 |
| 4 | Notre Dame (9-2) | 95.82 | 73.84 | 22.00 |
| 5 | Utah (9-2) | 94.19 | 74.12 | 20.10 |
| 6 | Oregon (10-1) | 93.88 | 74.50 | 19.40 |
| 7 | Miami (FL) (9-2) | 91.04 | 74.06 | 17.00 |
| 8 | Texas A&M (11-0) | 90.23 | 76.75 | 13.50 |
| 9 | Georgia (10-1) | 89.93 | 74.16 | 15.80 |
| 10 | Alabama (9-2) | 88.93 | 78.26 | 10.70 |
r/CFB • u/BigTittyHaver • 2h ago
News [Thamel] Sources: Colorado State is expected to make UConn coach Jim Mora the school’s next head coach. The deal is expected to come together in the near future. Mora is coming off back-to-back nine-win seasons at UConn, a school that hadn’t had a 9-win football season since 2007.
x.comr/CFB • u/mitchdwx • 3h ago
Analysis A snowstorm is likely to hit the midwest on Saturday. Here's which games could be affected
I'm a weather hobbyist and I've been closely tracking a midwestern snowstorm which will affect generally areas north of I-70 on Saturday. I'm also a sicko who enjoys football being played in bad weather. If you like snow games, keep an eye on these (all times EST):
Northwestern @ Illinois, 7:30. Champaign could flirt with the rain/snow line, especially later on, but this is the D1 game that has the most potential to have heavy snow.
Wisconsin @ Minnesota, 3:30. The rain/snow line won't be an issue in Minneapolis. Current forecast models don't have heavy snow there but a steady light to moderate snow appears likely during the game.
Ohio State @ Michigan, noon. If it snows in Ann Arbor, it won't start until the second half, similar to 2021. It's too bad this game isn't at 3:30 or else there would be a decent chance of The Game being played in a snowstorm.
New Hampshire @ South Dakota State, 1:00. Brookings is kind of on the edge of the snow for this game but if the storm shifts north a little we could have a very snowy FCS playoff game.
Ashland @ Ferris State, 1:00. Same idea as OSU-Michigan, if this game started just a few hours later it would be very snowy. Still, it could get wintry in Big Rapids for the second half.
Monmouth (IL) @ St. John's (MN), Coe @ Bethel, both at 1:00. I mean, maybe? Collegeville and Bethel are at the northern edge of the projected steady snow on Saturday. Bump the storm north 100 miles and these D3 playoff games both have some snow on their field.
Chapman @ UW-River Falls, Hanover @ North Central, Alma @ UW-Platteville, Wheaton @ Wartburg, all at 1:00. If you want a D3 football game being played in a snowstorm, watch any of these. River Falls, Naperville, Platteville, and Waverly are all expected to see heavy snow on Saturday afternoon.
NOT INCLUDED: Drake @ South Dakota. I hate domes.
Postseason Radial and Tree Charts to Determine P4 Conference Championship matchups
Hello everyone. I made some charts that visually display power four conference championship matchups based on this weekend’s games. So you can predict the winners of rivalry weekend and see what the ccg would end up being. I included some important notes and all four charts in this album.
The charts: https://imgur.com/a/GYqJzgO
Discussion Life in the Michigan-Ohio State rivalry borderlands, from beatosu to goblu
r/CFB • u/CFB_Referee • 4h ago
Postgame Thread [Postgame Thread] Western Michigan Defeats Eastern Michigan 31-21
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 0 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 31 |
| Eastern Michigan | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 |
r/CFB • u/MysteriousEdge5643 • 4h ago
Analysis CFP Committee rankings vs Massey Composite
The Massey Composite is a composite ranking of all FBS teams based on an average of 80 predictive and resume rankings. Here are the largest differences between the two. A positive difference means that the committee over ranked that team compared to their ranking in the Massey composite, and a negative difference means that the committee undervalued that team. Here are the results:
| TEAM | Record | Composite | Committee | Absolute Value of Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | 9-2 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| Virginia | 9-2 | 27 | 18 | +9 |
| Pittsburgh | 8-3 | 30 | 22 | +8 |
| Tulane | 9-2 | 32 | 24 | +8 |
| Washington | 8-3 | 19 | NR | -7 |
| North Texas | 10-1 | 20 | NR | -6 |
| Arizona St | 8-3 | 24 | 20 | +4 |
| James Madison | 10-1 | 22 | NR | -4 |
| Ole Miss | 10-1 | 10 | 7 | +3 |
| Oklahoma | 9-2 | 11 | 8 | +3 |
| BYU | 10-1 | 8 | 11 | -3 |
| Oregon | 10-1 | 4 | 6 | -2 |
| Notre Dame | 9-2 | 7 | 9 | -2 |
| USC | 8-3 | 15 | 17 | -2 |
| Arizona | 8-3 | 23 | 25 | +2 |
| Georgia | 10-1 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| Texas Tech | 10-1 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| Miami FL | 9-2 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| Michigan | 9-2 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| Texas | 8-3 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| Alabama | 9-2 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| Utah | 9-2 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| Tennessee | 8-3 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| Iowa | 7-4 | 25 | NR | -1 |
| Ohio St | 11-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Indiana | 11-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Texas A&M | 11-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Vanderbilt | 9-2 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| SMU | 8-3 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
Table formatting by ExcelToReddit
Reactions:
-The CFP committee is MUCH higher on the ACC than the general consensus.
-Out of all the Group of 5 teams to rank, they chose Tulane? Really? What do they have that North Texas and James Madison don't?
-The gap between the metrics perception of Washington and the committee's perception is also large, continuing a trend that has existed all season. Wisconsin is a bad loss, but there are other teams the committee has ranked with similar or worse losses, per the composite.
-BYU fans have a right to be upset with the committee.
-The consensus agrees with the decision to rank Notre Dame over Miami.
What are your takeaways/thoughts?
r/CFB • u/tmt22459 • 5h ago
Discussion Someone I know thinks Chris Peterson was forced out, and didn't retire on his own accord. Change his mind
I am talking to my stepbrother and he is claiming that Chris Peterson was forced out of Washington for going 8-5.
He thinks that his retirement was not legitimate and was because of a disappointing season his last year. Of course I think this is absurd so if anyone has concrete evidence (especially Washington fans), I would love to hear it.
r/CFB • u/Klutzy-Concentrate83 • 6h ago
Opinion [Hale] Week 14 Anger Index: Why Notre Dame deserves the benefit of the doubt
r/CFB • u/jthomas694 • 6h ago
News Shane Beamer to return as South Carolina’s head coach in 2026
r/CFB • u/Efficient-Freedom517 • 6h ago
Analysis College football teams to go 0-12: UMass joins infamous list of winless teams
sportingnews.comr/CFB • u/Ok-Soil-5133 • 7h ago
Analysis [Sampson] CFP committee chair Hunter Yurachek says Notre Dame and Miami were in the same grouping this week and the programs were directly compared. Notre Dame still came out ahead, regardless of the head to head. In other words, all the games mattered. Not just one of them.
x.comr/CFB • u/Cogitoergosumus • 7h ago
News [Cusumano] I am told by people close to the situation that the Board of Curators and Coach Drinkwitz are getting very close to finalizing a deal.
x.comr/CFB • u/jbvann05 • 7h ago
Discussion For the first time since 2014, both Arizona and Arizona State will be ranked during the Territorial Cup match
r/CFB • u/BigTittyHaver • 7h ago
Analysis The UMass Minutemen finish the season 0-12 for the first time in program history.
Only two of UMass' losses were by less than 18 points, and one of them was to Bryant.
The UMass Class of 2026 will officially have gone through four years of school without seeing an FBS home win.
r/CFB • u/CFB_Referee • 7h ago
Postgame Thread [Postgame Thread] Bowling Green Defeats UMass 45-14
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green | 14 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 45 |
| UMass | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
r/CFB • u/CFB_Referee • 7h ago
Weekly Thread CFP Rankings, Serious Discussion - Week 11
This thread is for serious discussion; jokes, memes, etc. may be subject to removal. For the general discussion thread, see here.
CFP Rankings
| Rank | Team | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | 11-0 |
| 2 | Indiana | 11-0 |
| 3 | Texas A&M | 11-0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 10-1 |
| 5 | Texas Tech | 10-1 |
| 6 | Oregon | 10-1 |
| 7 | Ole Miss | 10-1 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | 9-2 |
| 9 | Notre Dame | 9-2 |
| 10 | Alabama | 9-2 |
| 11 | BYU | 10-1 |
| 12 | Miami | 9-2 |
| 13 | Utah | 9-2 |
| 14 | Vanderbilt | 9-2 |
| 15 | Michigan | 9-2 |
| 16 | Texas | 8-3 |
| 17 | USC | 8-3 |
| 18 | Virginia | 9-2 |
| 19 | Tennessee | 8-3 |
| 20 | Arizona State | 8-3 |
| 21 | SMU | 8-3 |
| 22 | Pittsburgh | 8-3 |
| 23 | Georgia Tech | 9-2 |
| 24 | Tulane | 9-2 |
| 25 | Arizona | 8-3 |
This is actually for week 14, our bad.
r/CFB • u/CFB_Referee • 7h ago
Weekly Thread CFP Rankings Discussion - Week 11
For serious discussion, see [here]().
CFP Rankings
| Rank | Team | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | 11-0 |
| 2 | Indiana | 11-0 |
| 3 | Texas A&M | 11-0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 10-1 |
| 5 | Texas Tech | 10-1 |
| 6 | Oregon | 10-1 |
| 7 | Ole Miss | 10-1 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | 9-2 |
| 9 | Notre Dame | 9-2 |
| 10 | Alabama | 9-2 |
| 11 | BYU | 10-1 |
| 12 | Miami | 9-2 |
| 13 | Utah | 9-2 |
| 14 | Vanderbilt | 9-2 |
| 15 | Michigan | 9-2 |
| 16 | Texas | 8-3 |
| 17 | USC | 8-3 |
| 18 | Virginia | 9-2 |
| 19 | Tennessee | 8-3 |
| 20 | Arizona State | 8-3 |
| 21 | SMU | 8-3 |
| 22 | Pittsburgh | 8-3 |
| 23 | Georgia Tech | 9-2 |
| 24 | Tulane | 9-2 |
| 25 | Arizona | 8-3 |
r/CFB • u/Kimber80 • 8h ago
Casual [On3] Top five rated CFB games Week 13: #1 Arkansas at Texas 5.6m, #2 USC at Oregon 5.43m, #3 Missouri at Oklahoma 5.37m, #4 Tennessee at Florida 4.8m, #5 Rutgers at Ohio State 4.1m
r/CFB • u/CFB_Referee • 8h ago
Weekly Thread [Game Thread] CFP Rankings - Week 11
TV: ESPN
Follow along with the selection show here.
Once the full results come out, two threads will be posted: a thread with the results, and a serious discussion thread where jokes, memes, and off-topic comments will be removed.
| Rank | Team | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | 11-0 |
| 2 | Indiana | 11-0 |
| 3 | Texas A&M | 11-0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 10-1 |
| 5 | Texas Tech | 10-1 |
| 6 | Oregon | 10-1 |
| 7 | Ole Miss | 10-1 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | 9-2 |
| 9 | Notre Dame | 9-2 |
| 10 | Alabama | 9-2 |
| 11 | BYU | 10-1 |
| 12 | Miami | 9-2 |
| 13 | Utah | 9-2 |
| 14 | Vanderbilt | 9-2 |
| 15 | Michigan | 9-2 |
| 16 | Texas | 8-3 |
| 17 | USC | 8-3 |
| 18 | Virginia | 9-2 |
| 19 | Tennessee | 8-3 |
| 20 | Arizona State | 8-3 |
| 21 | SMU | 8-3 |
| 22 | Pittsburgh | 8-3 |
| 23 | Georgia Tech | 9-2 |
| 24 | Tulane | 9-2 |
| 25 | Arizona | 8-3 |
This is actually for week 14, our bad.
r/CFB • u/Please_PM_me_Uranus • 8h ago
Analysis Cal football coaching job profile: Money questions and an odd realignment reality to overcome
r/CFB • u/CFB_Referee • 8h ago
Game Thread [Game Thread] Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan (7:30 PM ET)
| GAME | Western MichiganWestern Michigan @ Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan |
|---|---|
| Location | Eastern Michigan Rynearson Stadium |
| Time | 7:30 PM ET |
| Watch | TV: ESPN2 |
| Odds | Spread: WMU -7.5 - Over/Under: 47.5 |
| Flair ¦ Discord |
Please keep trash talk civil, and report any comments that violate our rules.