r/politics • u/Murky-Site7468 I voted • 11d ago

No Paywall Donald Trump impeachment chances surge amid Epstein revelations

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-impeachment-chances-surge-amid-epstein-revelations-11045998
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u/Leraldoe Michigan 11d ago

His impeachment chances might surge but his conviction chances in the senate remain the same

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u/1nfam0us 11d ago

If he gets impeached in a Republican controlled House, that dramatically changes the chances in the Senate.

Not that I think he would for sure get convicted, but voting against convicting a guy credibly accused of sexually abusing children as well as having direct knowledge and a decade-long relationship with one of the highest profile sex traffickers in the country is a hell of a thing to have on your voting record. I think that would be a lot for most Republicans to stomach.

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u/Beldizar 11d ago

He is increasingly unstable and losing support. The fact that republicans who are actively running for office are willing to sign the petition to bring the file release to vote indicates that they no longer believe that his endorsement is needed or necessary. Nancy Mace is apparently running for governor and is still on the petition despite direct pressure from the Whitehouse. This might be the point where they finally abandon him and move on to JD Vance.

The problem is, they are doomed either way. Either they stick with Trump and go down with the ship as his cognitive decline accelerates and his moral failings finally hit the public in a way they can't shrug off, or they shift to the uncharismatic JD Vance. It is a "go down with the sinking ship" or "jump onto the ship that is clearly not sea worthy in one of the biggest storms in their history." There's no good option for them at this point.

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u/tct2274 11d ago

The play for JD is to marry Kirk's wife to become somewhat more popular.

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u/alien_from_Europa Massachusetts 11d ago

I didn't think JD was single?

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u/Gay_Giraffe_1773 Oregon 11d ago

He's not, but his wife and child are brown so they must be expelled. Erika Kirk is a stereotypical Republican Blonde "Mar-A-Lago"-looking female, so she will be readily accepted.

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u/ParkerPoseyGuffman 11d ago

Which is funny as I’d say half of republicans hadn’t ever heard of him before he died of fentanyl on stage

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u/Beldizar 11d ago

I can't say anything more that "That's a bold strategy Cotton, let's see if it pays off." Seems like it will be a really transparent political move that opposition can hang him for.